While other teams can tell you what’s possible with yesterday’s AI techniques, we tell you what’s possible over the next five years. The coming years will dramatically impact the worth of many portfolio companies as they’re surpassed by more agile, AI-native competitors. But it doesn't have to be that way. We show you how your portfolio companies can survive and thrive, leveraging their immense size and transforming themselves with state of the art AI before they get disrupted.
We use OpenAI's five stages to AGI (Artificial General Intelligence), defined as the ability of an AI model to perform any task a human can perform with minimal examples or experience.
Level 1: Conversational AI AI systems capable of engaging in natural, human-like conversations, exemplified by models like ChatGPT.
Level 2: Reasoners AI systems that can solve complex problems with the proficiency of a human expert, akin to a PhD-level education.
Level 3: Agents Autonomous AI systems that operates independently for days/weeks on complex tasks, making decisions without oversight.
Level 4: Innovators AI systems capable of developing groundbreaking ideas and solutions across various fields, driving innovation independently.
Level 5: Organizations AI systems functioning as entire entities, possessing strategic thinking and operational efficiency to manage complex systems and achieve organizational goals.
The advancement from Level 1 to Level 2 AI signifies
more than just incremental progress. It represents a
fundamental paradigm shift in how machines process and interpret complex information.
We see the coming revolution in AI as on par with the printing press, the steam engine and the Internet when it comes to business and societal transformation. Think ambient intelligence everywhere, embedded into every workflow and every possible aspect of business and life. With enhanced reasoning capabilities, AI systems can tackle intricate problems, simulate human expert decision-making, and provide insights that were previously unattainable through automation alone.
We are currently experiencing the beginnings of a renaissance in level 2, reasoning, with the release of OpenAI's o1 models and there is tremendous investment and movement to improve reasoning across the frontier labs that will dramatically transform your portfolio companies in the next five years and beyond.
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